​Australian and US Election Predictions

I said in the raison de etre of this blog that it would be in part a public record of political predictions, so given that recent articles have been more about explanation than prediction I think some crystal ball gazing is due.
 
Predictions relating to the US election:
Donald Trump will win the US presidential election.
Trump made a speech on the 13th of July, which I think will be looked back on as significant. In it he cited protection of the LGBT community as a reason for banning immigrants from countries with a history of exporting Islamic extremists. In the wake of the Orlando massacre this argument will carry weight and will cause rifts within the ‘social progressive’ ranks which had formerly been overwhelmingly in support of Hillary Clinton.
 
Predictions relating to the Australian Election:
In the coming Australian election the Nationals will steal primary votes from the Liberals and the Xenophon Party will steal votes from Labor.
Pauline Hanson will win a senate seat.
The coalition will be returned to government.